Tuesday, 29 July 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
Dollar fades as US inflation slows; China deal in spotlight
Thursday, 12 June 2025 04:07 WIB | US DOLLAR |DOLLAR

The U.S. dollar slid on Wednesday after data showed inflation in the world's largest economy rose less than expected last month, suggesting that the Federal Reserve could resume cutting interest rates sooner rather than later.

The greenback, however, briefly trimmed losses after President Donald Trump said a U.S. trade deal with China is done, with Beijing to supply magnets and rare earth minerals while the U.S. will allow Chinese students in its colleges and universities.

A White House official also said the agreement allows the U.S. to charge a 55% tariff on imported Chinese goods. This includes a 10% baseline "reciprocal" tariff, a 20% tariff for fentanyl trafficking and a 25% tariff reflecting pre-existing tariffs. China would charge a 10% tariff on U.S. imports, the official said.

In afternoon trading, the dollar slid 0.2% against the yen to 144.58, while the euro rose 0.5% to $1.1484, after briefly paring gains earlier as sentiment on the U.S. currency somewhat improved with the China news.

On the data front, the consumer price index (CPI) increased 0.1% last month after rising 0.2% in April, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI climbing 0.2%.

Underlying price pressures were also muted in May, with core CPI increasing just 0.1% after a 0.2% rise in April. But year-on-year inflation avanced advanced 2.4% after gaining 2.3% in April.

"Inflation momentum is slowing and that has led to the downward adjustment to U.S. interest rate expectations. Fed funds futures have started to firm up the chances of 50 basis points in cuts by yearend," said Elias Haddad, senior markets strategist, at Brown Brothers Harriman in London.

"Inflation from higher tariffs have so far been subdued, considering average tariffs in the U.S. have gone up from 2% in January to over 15%. We're not seeing the full effects yet of tariffs on inflation. I suppose we'll see the impact in the second half of the year."

Following the CPI data, traders of short-term interest rate futures had priced in a 71% chance that the Fed would cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point by September, compared with 57% before the data. Futures also factored in 50 bps in cuts, compared with 45 bps earlier this week.

The currency market, meanwhile, showed little reaction to comments from U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Wednesday that the 55% tariffs imposed by the United States on China will not change. He added that trade deals with other countries can be expected starting next week.

"The worst-case scenario is probably behind us. There's a little bit of face-saving for both sides. From the U.S. point of view, the rare earth thing was a big deal," said John Praveen, managing director, at investment firm Paleo Leon in Princeton.

"They got an agreement. The question is whether it will be implemented. The fact they have some kind of agreement is probably at least a relief for the market. ... The fact that things are de-escalating is the important point," Praveen said.

Source: Investing.com

RELATED NEWS
Dollar Gauge Steady as US-China Trade Talks Resume: Inside G-10...
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 09:59 WIB

A dollar index remained steady as traders weigh US-China trade talks ahead of key economic data releases expected later this week. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index little changed on Tuesday after...

US Dollar steadies as US-EU deal eases trade tensions...
Monday, 28 July 2025 23:29 WIB

The US Dollar (USD) starts the week on a firmer note, extending its modest recovery since Thursday, as easing global trade tensions lift investor sentiment. Interestingly, the Greenback, which typical...

US Dollar Strengthens as US-EU Deal Eases Trade Tensions ...
Monday, 28 July 2025 19:44 WIB

The US dollar (USD) started the week on a positive note, continuing its modest recovery since Thursday, as easing global trade tensions boosted investor sentiment. Interestingly, the greenback, which ...

Dollar Slips as Euro Strengthens on US-EU Trade Deal ...
Monday, 28 July 2025 09:46 WIB

The US dollar index dipped to around 97.5 on Monday, retreating after a two-day advance as the euro strengthened following the weekend's US-EU trade agreement. The deal, which imposes a 15% tariff on ...

US Dollar Strengthens Amid Fed Uncertainty And Renewed Trade Optimism ...
Friday, 25 July 2025 23:11 WIB

The US dollar (USD) traded with positive sentiment for the second consecutive day on Friday (July 25th), driven by upbeat US economic data and renewed optimism about trade. On Thursday, better-than-ex...

LATEST NEWS
Hang Seng Trims Losses at End of Trading

The Hang Seng Index weakened 38 points, or 0.15%, to close at 25,524 on Tuesday (July 29th), reversing gains from the previous session as most sectors declined. Traders are increasingly cautious about the potential negative impact of the US-EU...

USD/CHF Maintains Its Position Above 0.8050 As The US Dollar Strengthens On Trade Optimism

USD/CHF continued its strengthening for the second consecutive session, trading around 0.8060 during the European session on Tuesday (July 29). The currency pair strengthened as the US dollar (USD) was supported by trade optimism, driven by recent...

Pound Sterling slumps against the US Dollar, focus shifts to Fed monetary policy

The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds onto losses near its two-month low around 1.3350 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European session on Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar trades firmly after officials from the...

POPULAR NEWS
European stocks close lower as EU-U.S. trade deal optimism wanes
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 00:34 WIB

Europe's Stoxx 600 index erased earlier gains to close 0.23% lower as investors turned less positive over the details of the U.S.-EU trade...

Europe Reacts With A Mix Of Relief And Concern Over US Trade Deal
Monday, 28 July 2025 17:25 WIB

European governments and companies reacted with a mix of relief and concern on Monday (July 28th) to the framework trade agreement reached with US...

Trump announces trade deal with EU following months of negotiations
Monday, 28 July 2025 07:35 WIB

The United States and European Union have reached a landmark trade agreement that includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S., President...

Dow Jones Industrial Average grapples with direction ahead of heavy week
Tuesday, 29 July 2025 04:12 WIB

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tested all-new record highs early Monday, clipping into the high side in early trading before the weight of...